Tag: argentina liga profesional
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UEFA Nations League (main card, ~19:45) France vs BelgiumLean: France, with goals. Models put France around 45–63%; a conservative read is about 50–55%. Market is roughly France 1.49–1.53, draw 4.50–4.60, Belgium 5.25–5.30. Over 2.5 is the more interesting side of the card.Min odds for value: France ≥ 1.90–2.05. At ~1.50 there is no value. Belgium…
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UEFA Nations League Portugal vs Norway (19:45)Lean: Portugal, open game. Models put Portugal around 52–59%. Market is about 1.62–1.70.Minimum for value: Portugal ≥ 1.75–1.90. At 1.65 there is little or no edge. Over 2.5 is often ~1.44 against a model around 60–63%, so minimum is about 1.60 — also no value at the short price.…