Tag: cordoba


  • UEFA Nations League (main card, ~19:45) France vs BelgiumLean: France, with goals. Models put France around 45โ€“63%; a conservative read is about 50โ€“55%. Market is roughly France 1.49โ€“1.53, draw 4.50โ€“4.60, Belgium 5.25โ€“5.30. Over 2.5 is the more interesting side of the card.Min odds for value: France โ‰ฅ 1.90โ€“2.05. At ~1.50 there is no value. Belgium…

  • UEFA Nations League (main card) Lithuania vs Azerbaijan (14:00) Denmark vs Wales (17:00) Serbia vs Netherlands (17:00) Gibraltar vs Andorra (17:00) Austria vs Kosovo (17:00) Germany vs Greece (19:45) Israel vs Republic of Ireland (19:45) Norway vs Portugal (19:45) La Liga 2 Valladolid vs Cรณrdoba (~15:00) Mallorca vs Almerรญa (~17:15) Eibar vs Las Palmas (~19:30)…

  • Premier League Brentford vs Chelsea (20:00 UK) Lean: Chelsea win or high-scoring draw. Brentford are hard to beat at home; Chelsea have more firepower. Over 2.5 is the stronger market lean. Est. probs: Chelsea ~43โ€“46%, Brentford ~31โ€“34%, Draw ~22โ€“25%. Over 2.5 ~60โ€“65%. Min odds for value: Chelsea โ‰ฅ 2.30โ€“2.40; Draw โ‰ฅ 4.20; Over 2.5 โ‰ฅ…