UEFA Nations League Portugal vs Norway (19:45)Lean: Portugal, open game. Models put Portugal around 52โ59%. Market is about 1.62โ1.70.Minimum for value: Portugal โฅ 1.75โ1.90. At 1.65 there is little or no edge. Over 2.5 is often ~1.44 against a model around 60โ63%, so minimum is about 1.60 โ also no value at the short price.…
England produced one of their most complete performances in years, beating Croatia 7-0 in Rijeka on Saturday. Harry Kane scored twice, Bukayo Saka added a double, and Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon and Morgan Rogers completed the rout. Kane opened the scoring from a Bellingham pass, then Bellingham finished a Gordon cross. Saka struck either side…
Greece sit top of the group and are hard to beat at home. Germany, under Jรผrgen Klopp, already have a win but remain inconsistent. This looks tight. A draw is the sensible call, with Germany more likely to nick it if either side scores twice. Tip: Draw. Predicted score: Greece 1-1 Germany. Also like: Under…
Jรผrgen Klopp has his first win as Germany coach. The new national-team boss watched Florian Wirtz open the scoring in a controlled 2-0 Nations League win over Serbia, a result that steadies a side still finding its rhythm under the former Liverpool manager. Germany had lost to Greece earlier in the window. The Serbia game…
UEFA Nations League (main card, ~16:00โ18:45 UTC) Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein (16:00) Lean: Azerbaijan, controlled win, not a goal-fest. Est. probs: home ~84โ86%, draw ~11โ12%, away ~4%. Under 2.5 ~50โ55%. Market: home ~1.12โ1.16. Min odds for value: Azerbaijan โฅ 1.20. At ~1.12 there is no value. Under 2.5 only if โฅ 1.90. Germany vs Serbia (18:45)Lean:…
Germany are at home in Munich and should have enough control against Serbia. Serbia can threaten on the counter, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed. Tip: Germany win. Predicted score: Germany 2-1 Serbia
Germany should have too much quality at home. Greece will sit deep and try to stay organised, but the hostsโ attacking options should eventually break them down. Tip: Germany to win. Predicted score: 2-0. Best bet: Germany to win to nil
Real Madrid have confirmed Kylian Mbappรฉโs latest injury is less serious than first feared. The French forward is expected to miss a limited number of games rather than a long spell on the sidelines. The news comes as a relief for both club and country as the international break continues. Elsewhere, the Nations League programme…
UEFA Nations League A (19:45) Netherlands vs Germany Portugal vs Wales Norway vs Denmark Serbia vs Greece UEFA Nations League B / D Austria vs Israel (19:45) Kosovo vs Republic of Ireland (19:45) Liechtenstein vs Lithuania (19:45) Andorra vs Malta (17:00) AFCON qualifiers Match Lean Est. p Min odds for value Ivory Coast vs Ghana…