Tag: girona


  • UEFA Nations League Portugal vs Norway (19:45)Lean: Portugal, open game. Models put Portugal around 52โ€“59%. Market is about 1.62โ€“1.70.Minimum for value: Portugal โ‰ฅ 1.75โ€“1.90. At 1.65 there is little or no edge. Over 2.5 is often ~1.44 against a model around 60โ€“63%, so minimum is about 1.60 โ€” also no value at the short price.…

  • Premier League Tottenham vs Aston Villa (12:30) Both still searching for a first league win; Spurs yet to score in the league. Market: Spurs ~2.00โ€“2.07, Draw ~3.50โ€“3.70, Villa ~3.70โ€“3.85. Brighton vs Arsenal (15:00) Arsenal unbeaten/perfect start; Brighton attack well. Market: Arsenal ~1.70โ€“1.78. Everton vs Ipswich (15:00) Home edge vs promoted side. Newcastle vs Hull (15:00)…