Tag: mk dons


  • UEFA Womenโ€™s Champions League Bayern Munich (W) vs Manchester City (W) (~16:45) Lean: Bayern home edge, goals. Est. probs: Bayern ~42โ€“48%, Draw ~22โ€“26%, City ~28โ€“34%. Over 2.5 ~55โ€“62%. Market: Bayern ~2.10โ€“2.20, Draw ~3.80โ€“4.10, City ~2.90โ€“3.10. Min odds for value: Bayern โ‰ฅ 2.25; City โ‰ฅ 3.20; Over 2.5 โ‰ฅ 1.75; BTTS Yes โ‰ฅ 1.60. Best look:…

  • Manchester City vs Norwich (EFL Cup, 19:30) Prediction: City win, likely 3+ goals. Est. probs: City ~80%, Draw ~12%, Norwich ~8%. Over 2.5 ~72%, Over 3.5 ~48%. Min odds for value: City โ‰ฅ 1.32 | Over 2.5 โ‰ฅ 1.46 | Over 3.5 โ‰ฅ 2.20 Market is usually ~1.08โ€“1.12 on City โ€” no value on the…