UEFA Nations League Portugal vs Norway (19:45)Lean: Portugal, open game. Models put Portugal around 52โ59%. Market is about 1.62โ1.70.Minimum for value: Portugal โฅ 1.75โ1.90. At 1.65 there is little or no edge. Over 2.5 is often ~1.44 against a model around 60โ63%, so minimum is about 1.60 โ also no value at the short price.…
The Netherlands should have too much at the Philips Stadion. Serbia have struggled for results in the group, and Virgil van Dijk is set for a landmark appearance. Home win, with goals at both ends still possible. Tip: Netherlands win. Predicted score: Netherlands 2-0 Serbia.
Jรผrgen Klopp has his first win as Germany coach. The new national-team boss watched Florian Wirtz open the scoring in a controlled 2-0 Nations League win over Serbia, a result that steadies a side still finding its rhythm under the former Liverpool manager. Germany had lost to Greece earlier in the window. The Serbia game…
UEFA Nations League (main card, ~16:00โ18:45 UTC) Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein (16:00) Lean: Azerbaijan, controlled win, not a goal-fest. Est. probs: home ~84โ86%, draw ~11โ12%, away ~4%. Under 2.5 ~50โ55%. Market: home ~1.12โ1.16. Min odds for value: Azerbaijan โฅ 1.20. At ~1.12 there is no value. Under 2.5 only if โฅ 1.90. Germany vs Serbia (18:45)Lean:…
Germany are at home in Munich and should have enough control against Serbia. Serbia can threaten on the counter, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed. Tip: Germany win. Predicted score: Germany 2-1 Serbia
The Netherlands look the stronger side on paper and should control possession. Serbia can be dangerous on the counter, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed. Tip: Netherlands to win. Predicted score: 1-2. Best bet: Over 2.5 goals
UEFA Nations League A (19:45) Netherlands vs Germany Portugal vs Wales Norway vs Denmark Serbia vs Greece UEFA Nations League B / D Austria vs Israel (19:45) Kosovo vs Republic of Ireland (19:45) Liechtenstein vs Lithuania (19:45) Andorra vs Malta (17:00) AFCON qualifiers Match Lean Est. p Min odds for value Ivory Coast vs Ghana…
Serbia at home have more attacking threat. Greece will make it difficult but Serbia should find a way through. Tip: Serbia to win. Predicted score: 2-0