Tag: uefa nations league
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UEFA Nations League Portugal vs Norway (19:45)Lean: Portugal, open game. Models put Portugal around 52–59%. Market is about 1.62–1.70.Minimum for value: Portugal ≥ 1.75–1.90. At 1.65 there is little or no edge. Over 2.5 is often ~1.44 against a model around 60–63%, so minimum is about 1.60 — also no value at the short price.…
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England produced one of their most complete performances in years, beating Croatia 7-0 in Rijeka on Saturday. Harry Kane scored twice, Bukayo Saka added a double, and Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon and Morgan Rogers completed the rout. Kane opened the scoring from a Bellingham pass, then Bellingham finished a Gordon cross. Saka struck either side…
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Ireland have already taken points off stronger sides in this group and look the more settled team. Israel have found goals hard to come by. Tip: Republic of Ireland win. Predicted score: Ireland 2-0 Israel
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Both sides have mixed records. Wales at Cardiff are awkward, but Denmark have the better individuals and should edge a low-scoring game. Tip: Denmark win or draw (double chance). Predicted score: Wales 1-1 Denmark
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The Netherlands should have too much at the Philips Stadion. Serbia have struggled for results in the group, and Virgil van Dijk is set for a landmark appearance. Home win, with goals at both ends still possible. Tip: Netherlands win. Predicted score: Netherlands 2-0 Serbia.
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Greece sit top of the group and are hard to beat at home. Germany, under Jürgen Klopp, already have a win but remain inconsistent. This looks tight. A draw is the sensible call, with Germany more likely to nick it if either side scores twice. Tip: Draw. Predicted score: Greece 1-1 Germany. Also like: Under…
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Portugal are unbeaten in the group and have the stronger squad at the Dragão. Norway have quality in attack but have already dropped points. Expect Portugal to control the game and win without it being a rout. Tip: Portugal win. Predicted score: Portugal 2-1 Norway. Also like: Both teams to score
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UEFA Nations League — main games Croatia vs England (17:00)Lean: England win, both teams score, Over 2.5. Sports Mole and others call 1-2; six goals in the last meeting, and England’s recent games have been open.Estimated: Croatia ~22–25%, Draw ~24–26%, England ~50–54%. Over 2.5 ~58–62%. BTTS ~60–65%.Market: Croatia about 3.20–4.20, Draw about 3.60–3.80, England about…
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Switzerland are in form after the win in Scotland. Slovenia are competitive but the hosts look the more settled side. Tip: Switzerland win. Predicted score: Switzerland 2-1 Slovenia
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Scotland were beaten 0-3 by Switzerland after an early red card and need a response. North Macedonia have also lost both games. Away from home this is risky, but Scotland should have enough to take at least a point. Tip: Scotland win or draw. Predicted score: North Macedonia 1-1 Scotland
