Tag: austria
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UEFA Nations League Portugal vs Norway (19:45)Lean: Portugal, open game. Models put Portugal around 52–59%. Market is about 1.62–1.70.Minimum for value: Portugal ≥ 1.75–1.90. At 1.65 there is little or no edge. Over 2.5 is often ~1.44 against a model around 60–63%, so minimum is about 1.60 — also no value at the short price.…
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UEFA Nations League (main card, ~16:00–18:45 UTC) Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein (16:00) Lean: Azerbaijan, controlled win, not a goal-fest. Est. probs: home ~84–86%, draw ~11–12%, away ~4%. Under 2.5 ~50–55%. Market: home ~1.12–1.16. Min odds for value: Azerbaijan ≥ 1.20. At ~1.12 there is no value. Under 2.5 only if ≥ 1.90. Germany vs Serbia (18:45)Lean:…
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Ireland are at home in Dublin. Austria have been the more consistent side so far in the window. Expect a close game with Austria edging it. Tip: Austria win or draw. Predicted score: Ireland 1-1 Austria
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UEFA Nations League A (19:45) Netherlands vs Germany Portugal vs Wales Norway vs Denmark Serbia vs Greece UEFA Nations League B / D Austria vs Israel (19:45) Kosovo vs Republic of Ireland (19:45) Liechtenstein vs Lithuania (19:45) Andorra vs Malta (17:00) AFCON qualifiers Match Lean Est. p Min odds for value Ivory Coast vs Ghana…