UEFA Nations League Portugal vs Norway (19:45)Lean: Portugal, open game. Models put Portugal around 52โ59%. Market is about 1.62โ1.70.Minimum for value: Portugal โฅ 1.75โ1.90. At 1.65 there is little or no edge. Over 2.5 is often ~1.44 against a model around 60โ63%, so minimum is about 1.60 โ also no value at the short price.…
England produced one of their most complete performances in years, beating Croatia 7-0 in Rijeka on Saturday. Harry Kane scored twice, Bukayo Saka added a double, and Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon and Morgan Rogers completed the rout. Kane opened the scoring from a Bellingham pass, then Bellingham finished a Gordon cross. Saka struck either side…
Both sides have mixed records. Wales at Cardiff are awkward, but Denmark have the better individuals and should edge a low-scoring game. Tip: Denmark win or draw (double chance). Predicted score: Wales 1-1 Denmark
Jรผrgen Klopp has his first win as Germany coach. The new national-team boss watched Florian Wirtz open the scoring in a controlled 2-0 Nations League win over Serbia, a result that steadies a side still finding its rhythm under the former Liverpool manager. Germany had lost to Greece earlier in the window. The Serbia game…
UEFA Nations League (main card, ~16:00โ18:45 UTC) Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein (16:00) Lean: Azerbaijan, controlled win, not a goal-fest. Est. probs: home ~84โ86%, draw ~11โ12%, away ~4%. Under 2.5 ~50โ55%. Market: home ~1.12โ1.16. Min odds for value: Azerbaijan โฅ 1.20. At ~1.12 there is no value. Under 2.5 only if โฅ 1.90. Germany vs Serbia (18:45)Lean:…
Portugal lead Group A4 with six points after wins over Wales and Norway. Denmark sit second-bottom after a 3-2 loss to Norway and a 2-0 win over Wales. The big subplot is Cristiano Ronaldo: he left the Portugal camp after Jorge Jesus confirmed he would not start, with Gonรงalo Ramos preferred up front. Portugal still…
Cristiano Ronaldo has left Portugalโs training camp in Denmark after a public row with coach Jorge Jesus. Reports say Jesus indicated the 41-year-old would not start against Denmark in Thursdayโs Nations League fixture. Ronaldo then confirmed on social media that he had decided to leave the squad, and Portuguese outlets reported he does not intend…
Denmark are favourites at home. Wales will make it physical and compact, but the Danes should have enough quality to take the three points. Tip: Denmark to win. Predicted score: 2-0.
UEFA Nations League A (19:45) Netherlands vs Germany Portugal vs Wales Norway vs Denmark Serbia vs Greece UEFA Nations League B / D Austria vs Israel (19:45) Kosovo vs Republic of Ireland (19:45) Liechtenstein vs Lithuania (19:45) Andorra vs Malta (17:00) AFCON qualifiers Match Lean Est. p Min odds for value Ivory Coast vs Ghana…