Premier League Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City (20:00 UK)Spurs are still searching for their first league win (poor results despite some underlying metrics); Coventry are newly promoted and have leaked goals. Most models/previews lean Tottenham but with low-scoring tendencies common. Serie A Monza vs Cagliari (17:30)Cagliari in better form (strong away record, solid defense); Monza…
Headline matches Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga, 19:30)Lean: Dortmund win, goals likely. Dortmund are unbeaten and at home; models put them around 72โ78%. Market is about 1.30โ1.36, draw about 5.50, Bremen about 7.00โ9.00. Over 2.5 is about 1.40.Estimated probabilities: Dortmund ~74%, draw ~15%, Bremen ~11%. Over 2.5 ~60โ65%.Minimum odds for value: Dortmund โฅ 1.40;…