Tag: gil vicente


  • Premier League Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City (20:00 UK)Spurs are still searching for their first league win (poor results despite some underlying metrics); Coventry are newly promoted and have leaked goals. Most models/previews lean Tottenham but with low-scoring tendencies common. Serie A Monza vs Cagliari (17:30)Cagliari in better form (strong away record, solid defense); Monza…

  • Headline matches Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga, 19:30)Lean: Dortmund win, goals likely. Dortmund are unbeaten and at home; models put them around 72โ€“78%. Market is about 1.30โ€“1.36, draw about 5.50, Bremen about 7.00โ€“9.00. Over 2.5 is about 1.40.Estimated probabilities: Dortmund ~74%, draw ~15%, Bremen ~11%. Over 2.5 ~60โ€“65%.Minimum odds for value: Dortmund โ‰ฅ 1.40;…