UEFA Nations League Portugal vs Norway (19:45)Lean: Portugal, open game. Models put Portugal around 52โ59%. Market is about 1.62โ1.70.Minimum for value: Portugal โฅ 1.75โ1.90. At 1.65 there is little or no edge. Over 2.5 is often ~1.44 against a model around 60โ63%, so minimum is about 1.60 โ also no value at the short price.…
Argentina underlined their strength with a 7-0 friendly win over Burkina Faso in Buenos Aires. Lautaro Martรญnez, Giovani Prestianni, Nico Paz, Juliรกn รlvarez, Franco Mastantuono and Giovanni Simeone all scored. The United States also impressed, beating Mexico 3-0 in Arizona. Club news is already turning toward the Premier Leagueโs return on 10 October. Manchester City…
Greece sit top of the group and are hard to beat at home. Germany, under Jรผrgen Klopp, already have a win but remain inconsistent. This looks tight. A draw is the sensible call, with Germany more likely to nick it if either side scores twice. Tip: Draw. Predicted score: Greece 1-1 Germany. Also like: Under…
Jรผrgen Klopp has his first win as Germany coach. The new national-team boss watched Florian Wirtz open the scoring in a controlled 2-0 Nations League win over Serbia, a result that steadies a side still finding its rhythm under the former Liverpool manager. Germany had lost to Greece earlier in the window. The Serbia game…
UEFA Nations League (main card, ~16:00โ18:45 UTC) Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein (16:00) Lean: Azerbaijan, controlled win, not a goal-fest. Est. probs: home ~84โ86%, draw ~11โ12%, away ~4%. Under 2.5 ~50โ55%. Market: home ~1.12โ1.16. Min odds for value: Azerbaijan โฅ 1.20. At ~1.12 there is no value. Under 2.5 only if โฅ 1.90. Germany vs Serbia (18:45)Lean:…
Greece have already shown they can upset bigger sides in this group. The Netherlands remain favourites on quality, but this looks tighter than the odds may suggest. Tip: Netherlands win or draw. Predicted score: Greece 1-2 Netherlands
Germany should have too much quality at home. Greece will sit deep and try to stay organised, but the hostsโ attacking options should eventually break them down. Tip: Germany to win. Predicted score: 2-0. Best bet: Germany to win to nil
Real Madrid have confirmed Kylian Mbappรฉโs latest injury is less serious than first feared. The French forward is expected to miss a limited number of games rather than a long spell on the sidelines. The news comes as a relief for both club and country as the international break continues. Elsewhere, the Nations League programme…
UEFA Nations League A (19:45) Netherlands vs Germany Portugal vs Wales Norway vs Denmark Serbia vs Greece UEFA Nations League B / D Austria vs Israel (19:45) Kosovo vs Republic of Ireland (19:45) Liechtenstein vs Lithuania (19:45) Andorra vs Malta (17:00) AFCON qualifiers Match Lean Est. p Min odds for value Ivory Coast vs Ghana…