Tag: werder bremen


  • Premier League Manchester City vs Ipswich Town (15:00)Lean: City. Estimated probabilities: City ~75โ€“80%, Draw ~14โ€“16%, Ipswich ~7โ€“10%. Over 2.5 ~60โ€“65%.Market: City ~1.20โ€“1.25, Draw ~6.00, Ipswich ~9.00โ€“11.00.Min odds for value: City โ‰ฅ 1.30โ€“1.35 (usually no value on the 1X2); Over 2.5 โ‰ฅ 1.65โ€“1.70. Haaland anytime is often the cleaner alternative. Everton vs Chelsea (12:30)Lean: Competitive /…

  • Headline matches Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga, 19:30)Lean: Dortmund win, goals likely. Dortmund are unbeaten and at home; models put them around 72โ€“78%. Market is about 1.30โ€“1.36, draw about 5.50, Bremen about 7.00โ€“9.00. Over 2.5 is about 1.40.Estimated probabilities: Dortmund ~74%, draw ~15%, Bremen ~11%. Over 2.5 ~60โ€“65%.Minimum odds for value: Dortmund โ‰ฅ 1.40;…

  • Dortmund have won all four league games and six in a row across competitions. Bremen can score โ€” Niclas Fรผllkrug is back in the side โ€” but they also concede. Dortmundโ€™s defence is short, with Emre Can out and Nico Schlotterbeck a doubt, so Bremen should get a goal. Tip: Dortmund win. Predicted score: Dortmund…