Headline matches Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga, 19:30)Lean: Dortmund win, goals likely. Dortmund are unbeaten and at home; models put them around 72โ78%. Market is about 1.30โ1.36, draw about 5.50, Bremen about 7.00โ9.00. Over 2.5 is about 1.40.Estimated probabilities: Dortmund ~74%, draw ~15%, Bremen ~11%. Over 2.5 ~60โ65%.Minimum odds for value: Dortmund โฅ 1.40;…
Dortmund have won all four league games and six in a row across competitions. Bremen can score โ Niclas Fรผllkrug is back in the side โ but they also concede. Dortmundโs defence is short, with Emre Can out and Nico Schlotterbeck a doubt, so Bremen should get a goal. Tip: Dortmund win. Predicted score: Dortmund…